Probabilistic uncertainty analysis based on Monte Carlo simulations of co-combustion of hazelnut hull and coal blends: data-driven modeling and response surface optimization
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Dosyalar
Tarih
2017
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Elsevier Sci Ltd
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
Özet
The aim of present study is to investigate the thermogravimetric behaviour of the co-combustion of hazelnut hull (HH) and coal blends using three approaches: multi non-linear regression (MNLR) modeling based on Box-Behnken design (BBD) (1), optimization based on response surface methodology (RSM) (2), and probabilistic uncertainty analysis based on Monte Carlo simulation as a function of blend ratio, heating rate, and temperature (3). The response variable was predicted by the best-fit MNLR model with a predicted regression coefficient (R-pred(2)) of 99.5%. Blend ratio of 90/10 (HH to coal, %wt), temperature of 405 degrees C, and heating rate of 44 degrees C min(-1) were determined as RSM-optimized conditions with a mass loss of 87.4%. The validation experiments with three replications were performed for justifying the predicted-mass loss percentage and 87.5% +/- 0.2 of mass loss were obtained under RSM-optimized conditions. The probabilistic uncertainty analysis were performed by using Monte Carlo simulations. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Hazelnut Hull, Co-Combustion, Multi Non-Linear Regression, Response Surface Optimization, Monte Carlo Simulations
Kaynak
Bioresource Technology
WoS Q Değeri
Q1
Scopus Q Değeri
Q1
Cilt
225
