Predicting occurrence of liquefaction-induced lateral spreading using gradient boosting algorithms integrated with particle swarm optimization: PSO-XGBoost, PSO-LightGBM, and PSO-CatBoost

dc.authorid0000-0003-2520-4395en_US
dc.authorid0000-0002-9830-8585en_US
dc.contributor.authorDemir, Selçuk
dc.contributor.authorŞahin, Emrehan Kutluğ
dc.date.accessioned2023-09-04T10:43:33Z
dc.date.available2023-09-04T10:43:33Z
dc.date.issued2023en_US
dc.departmentBAİBÜ, Mühendislik Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractLiquefaction-induced lateral spreading that has resulted in devastating damages to lifelines and buildings has been widely reported in recent earthquakes. Although it is impossible to preclude the occurrence of earthquakes, it is possible to predict its adverse effects through computer science such as machine learning (ML) algorithms. In this study, the ability of recently developed and powerful ML algorithms such as eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Categorical Boosting (CatBoost), and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) was investigated to predict the occurrence of liquefaction-induced lateral spreading. A relatively large dataset was used to develop ML models, including 6704 lateral spread observations from the 2011 Christchurch earthquake in New Zealand. The particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is utilized for hyperparameter optimization of the gradient boosting models, called the PSO-XGBoost, PSO-LightGBM, and PSO-CatBoost. For comparison, the prediction results of the PSO optimized gradient boosting models were compared with that of the models using default parameters (i.e., XGBoost, CatBoost, and LightGBM). In addition, the SHapley Additive exPlanations approach is employed to explore the feature importance of the variables included in the dataset. The findings demonstrated that all the three gradient boosting algorithms performed well in predicting lateral spreading occurrence. Moreover, PSO-CatBoost outperformed other state-of-the-art models in terms of performance metrics. However, the PSO-LightGBM model may be considered the best choice for computers with older-gen hardware and important tasks that need to be completed in a short time. This study confirms the effectiveness of the proposed models, and the use of these boosting algorithms especially optimized with PSO is recommended for predicting the occurrence of liquefaction-induced lateral spreading.en_US
dc.identifier.citationDemir, S., & Sahin, E. K. (2023). Predicting occurrence of liquefaction-induced lateral spreading using gradient boosting algorithms integrated with particle swarm optimization: PSO-XGBoost, PSO-LightGBM, and PSO-CatBoost. Acta Geotechnica, 18(6), 3403-3419.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11440-022-01777-1
dc.identifier.endpage3419en_US
dc.identifier.issn1861-1125
dc.identifier.issn1861-1133
dc.identifier.issue6en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85145370240en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1en_US
dc.identifier.startpage3403en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11440-022-01777-1
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12491/11651
dc.identifier.volume18en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000906684600001en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.institutionauthorDemir, Selçuk
dc.institutionauthorŞahin, Emrehan Kutluğ
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherSPRINGER HEIDELBERGen_US
dc.relation.ispartofActa Geotechnicaen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectCatBoosten_US
dc.subjectLateral Spreadingen_US
dc.subjectLightGBMen_US
dc.subjectLiquefactionen_US
dc.subjectParticle Swarm Optimizationen_US
dc.subjectXGBoosten_US
dc.titlePredicting occurrence of liquefaction-induced lateral spreading using gradient boosting algorithms integrated with particle swarm optimization: PSO-XGBoost, PSO-LightGBM, and PSO-CatBoosten_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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