Spatiotemporal modeling of net primary productivity of Eastern Mediterranean biomes under different regional climate change scenarios

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dc.authorid0000-0003-1099-4363en_US
dc.authorid0000-0002-6781-2658en_US
dc.authorid0000-0002-7788-3839
dc.authorid0000-0002-1547-6680
dc.contributor.authorDönmez, Cenk
dc.contributor.authorBerberoğlu, Süha
dc.contributor.authorÇilek, Ahmet
dc.contributor.authorEvrendilek, Fatih
dc.date.accessioned2021-06-23T19:43:45Z
dc.date.available2021-06-23T19:43:45Z
dc.date.issued2016
dc.departmentBAİBÜ, Mühendislik Fakültesi, Çevre Mühendisliği Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractThe present study modeled how future terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP) changes spatiotemporally for the eastern Mediterranean biomes of Turkey using Carnegie Ames Stanford Approach (CASA) model, Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data, the four regional climate change scenarios (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0 and RCP 8.5), and such ancillary data as percent tree cover, land use/cover map, soil texture, and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). A mean decrease occurred by 3.2% in the present (2000-2010) mean annual NPP of the most productive biome-deciduous broadleaf forest-in response to the average increases by 5 degrees C in maximum temperature, by 2 degrees C in minimum temperature, by 276 mm in maximum rainfall, and the average decrease by 69 mm in minimum rainfall among the RCPs for the future (2070-2100) period. The maximum annual NPP increases occurred by 4.4% for evergreen needle leaf forest, by 3.9% for grassland, 3.4% for cropland, 2.2% for mixed forest, and 1.1% for shrubland in response to RCP 8.5. Deciduous broadleaf forest NPP appeared to be more vulnerable than the other biomes to the decreased rainfall and the increased air temperature of the water-limited growing season projected by the RCPs. Increasing winter and spring temperatures appeared to benefit the earlier spring green-up of grasses, evergreen needle leaf trees, crops, and shrubs. Our results suggest that a shift from deciduous broadleaf forest toward conifer forest may become more widespread, in particular, in the southern, low-altitude areas of the study region.en_US
dc.identifier.endpage356en_US
dc.identifier.issn1735-6865
dc.identifier.issn2008-2304
dc.identifier.issue2en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-84989961046en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ2en_US
dc.identifier.startpage341en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12491/8845
dc.identifier.urihttps://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:000379755900015
dc.identifier.urihttps://ijer.ut.ac.ir/article_57814.html
dc.identifier.volume10en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000379755900015en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ4en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.institutionauthorEvrendilek, Fatih
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherSpringer International Publishing Agen_US
dc.relation.ispartofInternational Journal Of Environmental Researchen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccessen_US
dc.subjectCarbon Budgeten_US
dc.subjectRegional Climate Changeen_US
dc.subjectMODISen_US
dc.subjectNPPen_US
dc.subjectMediterraneanen_US
dc.titleSpatiotemporal modeling of net primary productivity of Eastern Mediterranean biomes under different regional climate change scenariosen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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