Long term characterization of the vehicle stock in Turkey
Küçük Resim Yok
Tarih
2021
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
Özet
Projections of vehicle profiles play an essential role in developing government policies for emissions reductions in the automotive sector. Determining the trends of key parameters related to tailpipe emissions is critical for analyzing the adverse effects of vehicle emissions on air quality. This study presents a framework that can be used to assess the impacts of the vehicle fleet characteristics on pollutant emissions. Passenger cars and light commercial category vehicles in the Turkish vehicle fleet are analyzed in terms of size (sales and scrappage rates), age distribution, fuel type, engine displacement, and mileage. The distributions based on these parameters are forecasted for the 2020-2030 period under five alternative policy scenarios for Turkey. Should no scrappage incentives be imposed, the average vehicle age is estimated to increase significantly, and shares of hybrid and electric vehicles will be minor.
Açıklama
This work was supported by the Ministry of Environment and Urbanization of the Republic of Turkey.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Registered Vehicle Forecast, Scrapped Vehicles Predictions, Automobile, ARMA, Turkey, CO2 Emissions
Kaynak
Transportation Research Part D-Transport and Environment
WoS Q Değeri
Q1
Scopus Q Değeri
Q1
Cilt
99
Sayı
Künye
Köksal, M. A., Tekeli, Ş. E., Aksoy, S. A., Kızıltan, A., Kızıltan, M., Duran, N., ... & Güllü, G. (2021). Long term characterization of the vehicle stock in Turkey. Transportation research part D: transport and environment, 99, 102988.
